Marine Sciences

Forecasting change across oceans, reefs, and marine ecosystems

Marine Sciences explores how ecological communities respond to environmental change across coral reefs, deep-sea ecosystems, and marine mammal populations. Research within the group combines ecological theory, mathematical modelling, and field-based approaches to understand how marine systems are organised across space and time.

Current work includes the development of stochastic state-and-transition models to forecast successional change within benthic coral reef communities under accelerating climate pressure. Other projects investigate biodiversity and governance in the deep sea of the Western Indian Ocean, combining ecological research with policy analysis to address major knowledge and capacity gaps across Small Island Developing States.

Research on pinniped population dynamics examines how marine mammal populations recover following commercial exploitation and respond to environmental variability such as El Niño events. Using Bayesian frameworks, matrix population models, and drone-based biometric surveys, these projects investigate resilience, extinction risk, and physiological responses to climate-driven disturbance.

Together, this work examines marine ecosystems across scales, from community organisation and ocean governance to population viability and individual condition.

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Keywords

Marine ecology; ecological forecasting; deep-sea systems; climate change; population dynamics

Selected Publications

Coral Reef Community Structure (2026)

Coral Reef Connectivity and Change (2024)

Marine Biodiversity Monitoring (2022)

Projects

Theoretical Evolutionary Ecology

Understanding how life-history strategies evolve across ecological systems

Virus Dynamics

Exploring how viruses evolve, persist, and shape disease

Marine Sciences

Forecasting change across oceans, reefs, and marine ecosystems

Icons of Value

Examining wildlife, brands, and value in modern economies

GM Technology

Modelling the ecological consequences of emerging genetic technologies

Biodiversity

Understanding biodiversity responses to environmental and climatic change

Immunology

Exploring immune diversity across species, scales, and evolutionary time

Mental Health & Neurodynamics

Mathematical approaches to trauma, memory, and mental health